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🏛️ Politics
General
#4323
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?
9.45Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
4.05Ᵽ – 8.05Ᵽ
Call No
91.95Ᵽ – 95.95Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 5%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
4.05Ᵽ best bid · 8.05Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $25,298 volume
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
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