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🏛️ Politics
General
#43281
🎯 One of 6 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 6 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 6 candidates »
Will exactly 4 governors lose re-election in 2026?
11.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 11%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $5,459 volume
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If exactly 4 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
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