Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?

📡 Kalshi: 57%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

55.00Ᵽ best bid · 59.00Ᵽ best ask

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 7, 2026, 2:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

If Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election minus Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Graham Yes.