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💼 Business & Finance
General
#43656
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 115?
97.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
95.00Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ
Call No
1.00Ᵽ – 5.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 97%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
95.00Ᵽ best bid · 99.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $7,899 volume
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the Carbon Arc Delivery app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Order Delivery Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.
The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Order Delivery Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=223d35ea-7b0e-4d4d-aff6-b14e41a778b2. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Uber Eats, DoorDash, Grubhub and Instacart, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices.
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