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Open 🩺 Health General #4400
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Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Call Yes 6Ᵽ Call No 95Ᵽ
5.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
3.50Ᵽ – 7.50Ᵽ
Call No
92.50Ᵽ – 96.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.50Ᵽ best bid · 7.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $131,791 volume · $38,490 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Bids
10.00 3.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 96.50Ᵽ · if correct: +35.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −965.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 7.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 7.50Ᵽ · if correct: +925.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −75.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against Hantavirus (including Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) or Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS)) receives full approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA, including its list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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