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🏛️ Politics
General
#44117
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?
4.25Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $8,490 volume
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Apr 1, 2027?
Kalshi: 18%
· 13.75Ᵽ apart
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book
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Bids
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Asks
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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