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Open ₿ Crypto General #4735

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Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Call Yes 13Ᵽ Call No 87Ᵽ
13.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
28.50Ᵽ – 32.50Ᵽ
Call No
67.50Ᵽ – 71.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 30%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

28.50Ᵽ best bid · 32.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $13,936 volume · $446 liquidity
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027? Kalshi: 34% · 3.50Ᵽ apart
Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027? Kalshi: 17% · 13.50Ᵽ apart
Will Unit launch a token before Jan 1, 2027? Kalshi: 10% · 20.50Ᵽ apart

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Bids
10.00 28.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 71.50Ᵽ · if correct: +285.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −715.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 32.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 32.50Ᵽ · if correct: +675.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −325.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Surf officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only an official token launched by Surf will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.

The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

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