Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release

📡 Kalshi: 16%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

July 1, 2028, 2 p.m.

Rules

If at least 3 of:
unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)
S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance
Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix
labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%
CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.