Resolved No
🏛️ Politics
General
#851
🎯 One of 6 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 6 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 6 candidates »
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
0.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $100,906 volume
👁 7 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
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