Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

📡 Polymarket: 100%
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Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 31, 2026, midnight

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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Think “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?” resolved Yes incorrectly? 0 appeals filed so far — window closes Sept. 13, 2026, 8:08 p.m.. This doesn't decide anything by itself; staff review every appeal.

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