Will Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release?

📡 Kalshi: 20%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Feb. 23, 2027, 1:29 p.m.

Rules

If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes.