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🎯 Multi-outcome · 2 candidates · exactly one happens
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by
0-5%
26.50Ᵽ 10% or more
4.05Ᵽ
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🎯 Multi-outcome · 3 candidates · exactly one happens
Will Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
New Zealand First
50.50Ᵽ Green
44.50Ᵽ Labour
0.15Ᵽ
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🎯 Multi-outcome · 5 candidates · exactly one happens
Will win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
Labour Party
43.50Ᵽ Green Party
15.00Ᵽ New Zealand First Party
0.60Ᵽ Te Pāti Māori
0.30Ᵽ ACT New Zealand
0.25Ᵽ
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🎯 Multi-outcome · 10 candidates · exactly one happens
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include
Labour + Green
26.05Ᵽ Labour + Green + Maori
16.50Ᵽ Labour + Maori
1.00Ᵽ Labour + Green + NZF
0.95Ᵽ Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
0.85Ᵽ
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