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🏛️ Politics
General
#1231
🎯 One of 71 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 71 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 71 candidates »
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
12.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 8%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $79,028 volume
👁 4 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will Ilhan Omar be arrested before Jan 2027?
Kalshi: 36%
· 28.50Ᵽ apart
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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