Open
🔬 Science & Climate
General
#14525
Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
5.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
3.00Ᵽ – 7.00Ᵽ
Call No
93.00Ᵽ – 97.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 5%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
3.00Ᵽ best bid · 7.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $460,334 volume
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Polymarket: 3%
· 2.45Ᵽ apart
Price history
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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