Open
🏛️ Politics
General
#38935
🎯 One of 19 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 19 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 19 candidates »
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?
5.30Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $3,626 volume
👁 3 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will Ilhan Omar be arrested before Jan 2027?
Kalshi: 36%
· 32.75Ᵽ apart
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi: 4%
· 0.75Ᵽ apart
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…
Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
Log in to trade this market.
Order book
Loading…
Bids
None
Asks
None
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
Log in to add your own rating.
No one's rated this yet -- be the first.
Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comments
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet -- be the first to say something.