🎯 Multi-outcome · 1 candidate · exactly one happens
Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election
🎯 Multi-outcome · 1 candidate · exactly one happens
Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election